We Study Billionaires - The Investors Podcast

In today's episode, Kyle Grieve discusses the book Against The Gods and how risk has evolved over history, why risk management was deeply routed in gambling, how the insurance industry was launched, revolutionary learnings on risk from brilliant historical figures, how regression was formulated and how it tricks investors, the two economists who upended utility theory, the powerful concept of prospect theory and how it showed how irrational humans are, and much more! IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 06:52 - Why a human “calculator” can’t win in the market, and the key skills that drive investing success. 08:54 - The two critical risk concepts Cardano introduced to beat the odds—still useful for investors today. 11:12 - How Pascal and Fermat cracked the ‘problem of points’ and laid the groundwork for market probability models. 15:09 - How Daniel Bernoulli connected intuition with measurement. 20:24 - How Bayes’ rule transformed probability theory. 25:55 - Why focusing on the downside matters most—e