We Study Billionaires - The Investors Podcast

In this episode, Clay explores the core ideas behind Capital Returns by Edward Chancellor and Marathon Asset Management. Based on decades of investing experience, the book uncovers the capital cycle framework, which reveals how capital flows, supply dynamics, and managerial incentives drive long-term investment outcomes. Whether you're a value investor, a portfolio manager, or simply curious about market cycles, this episode offers guidance for understanding the boom and bust nature of cyclical industries. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 01:31 - How the capital cycle explains boom and bust industry dynamics. 07:03 - Why tracking supply is often more useful than forecasting demand. 16:20 - How capital discipline separates great managers from average ones. 05:07 - Why excess investment leads to lower future returns. 30:38 - Why cyclical industries can offer high-return opportunities. 41:50 - How incentives and ownership structures impact corporate decision-making. 49:10 - How low interest